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PGF Season 5: Day 4 Fantasy Analysis

PGF Fantasy Managers, you’re hitting the home stretch. We’ve learned it’s all about the matchups. As usual, we’re getting close to game time, so I’m not going to give a big preamble. Good luck to all of you as you vie for the cash and gear prizes!

Elijah Carlton (Team Epic Roll) – Black Belt, 10th Planet Atlanta$27. He faces Young Matthew Dewees, Fedor Nikolov, and David Cooper. Expect him to get two submissions, possibly three. – 15 points.

MANTIS Travis Thomas (Team Level) – Purple Belt, 10th Planet Decatur - $25. He faces Landon Tourville, Noah Randolph, and Cam Hurd. Thomas faces Landon Tourville, Noah Randolph, and Cam Hurd. Thomas has scored three submissions on multiple days and he has a real chance at scoring three submissions today as well. - 12 points.

Fedor Nikolov (Team Toe Hold Red) – Brown Belt, 10th Planet HQ (formerly 10th Planet St. Petersburg) - $23. He faces Kemoy Anderson, Elijah Carlton, Moose Fritz. He took out the Moose twice in the LA Qualifier and will be counting on that win. The matches against Kemoy and Elijah should give us a lot of information about what we can expect in the Finale. - 3 points.

Matt Elkins (Team Toe Hold Blue)– Black Belt, 10th Planet Birmingham - $20. He faces Sam Schwartz, Sawyer Griffin, and Landon Tourville. Since he’s tied for 7th (tied for last one in) he must get some more subs to ensure he makes the finale. All three will be tough, but are winnable matches for Elkins. - 15 points

Landon Tourville (Team Toe Hold Red) – Blue Belt, Fathom BJJ - $20. He faces Travis Thomas, Nick Craton, and Matt Elkins. He’s been a star this season. But he needs to finish the job by getting at least one submission today. If he doesn’t, other competitors will rise up and he could fall behind. None of these competitors are an easy or even likely win for him, but we’ve doubted him before and been proven wrong. - 3 points

Nick Craton (Team Epic Roll) – Brown Belt at Adamas Jiu Jitsu, formerly of 10th Planet St. Paul - $20. He faces Noah Randolph, Landon Tourville, and Sawyer Griffin. These opponents have all proven tough, but if Craton wants to prove he’s one of the top competitors, he’ll need to submit them. - 9 points.

Kemoy Anderson (Team Level) – Brown Belt, 10th Planet Austin (formerly 10th Planet El Paso) - $18. He faces Fedor Nikolov, Matthew Dewees, and Sam Schwartz. With Team Epic Roll likely to get 3 more team points for their competitors, Kemoy can’t rest on his laurels today. He needs to get subs. Young Matthew has proven tough to submit, but Kemoy will get it done. His other matches against the 10PHQ teammates should prove challenging. He has the ability to submit them, but not a high percentage chance. - 6 points.

The Rock Troll Maximus Prime Jolly (Team Epic Roll) – Purple Belt, Upper Cumberland MMA/10th Planet Cookeville - $18. He faces Moose Fritz, Josh Gibbs, Luke Church. These are very winnable matches and he’ll need to get subs since he’s now on the bubble, tied for 7th. We could easily see three breaks from a refocused Rock Troll. - 9 points.

Cameron Hurd (Team Epic Roll) – Purple Belt, Silver Back NOVA - $17. He faces Buddha McClure, Paul Bahri, and Travis Thomas. All three opponents are young, athletic guys. Cam has shown the ability to dominate exchanges but has secured limited submissions. There’s a real chance he misses the playoffs. - 6 points.

Sam Schwartzapfel (Team Epic Roll) – Purple Belt, 10th Planet HQ and 10th Planet NYC - $17. He faces Matt Elkins, Handsome Kevin Sherrill, and Kemoy Anderson. Sam is the first person out, looking in. This lineup of opponents, three of the top five rated competitors coming into the season, does not help his chances of making the finale. - 3 points.

Noah Randolph (Team Toe Hold Blue) – Purple Belt, 10th Planet Decatur -$14 He faces Nick Craton, Travis Thomas, and Paul Bahri. Thomas has likely face Noah many times since they’re from the same gym. Noah is dangerous, but unlikely to get subs in these matches. His best shot will be against Paul Bahri.

Handsome Kevin Sherrill (Team Toe Hold Red) – Brown Belt, LHM/American Top Team Atlanta - $14. He faces Sawyer Griffin, Sam Schwartz, and Matthew Dewees. Even if he gets three kills, Handsome Kevin is unlikely to get into the finale/playoffs, so he’s grappling for pride. Still, expect some high level, fun matches from him. - 6 points.

Sawyer Griffin (Team Level) – Purple Belt at 10th Planet Decatur - $14. He faces Handsome Kevin Sherrill, Matt Elkins, and Nick Craton. He’s shown himself to be very game, but he’s not getting a submission against these guys.

Cody “MOOSE” Fritz (Team Toe Hold Blue) – Purple Belt, 10th Planet Santa Barbara - $13. He faces Maximus Jolly, David Cooper, and Fedor Nikolov. He wants a chance to avenge his two losses to Fedor at the LA qualifier. Maximus is a tall order to beat. He will likely find a way to get a sub against Cooper.

Luke Church Claunch (Team Level) – Purple Belt at 10th Planet Decatur - $13. He faces Paul Bahri, Buddha McClure, and Maximus Jolly. This lineup is much more likely to possibly have a submission win for Church, but it won’t be easy. - 3 points

Tony “Buddha” McClure (Team Toe Hold Blue) – Blue Belt, Integrity BJJ and Fitness - $13. He faces Cam Hurd, Luke Church, and Josh Gibbs. He has two winnable matches with Church and Gibbs. Hurd will be a great match likely ending up in a draw. - 9 points.

Paul Bahri (Team Toe Hold Red) – Blue Belt at 10th Planet Jacksonville - $13. He faces Luke Church, Cam Hurd, and Noah Randolph. All these opponents are durable and hard to submit. These should be good matches, but likely draws. - 0 points.

Matthew DeWees (Team Toe Hold Blue) – Blue Belt at 10th Planet Jacksonville - $13. He faces Elijah Carlton, Kemoy Anderson, and Handsome Kevin Sherrill. This lineup is so tough. If he can force draws, it will be a win.

Joshua “Full Time” Gibbs (Team Toe Hold Red) – Brown Belt at Nomad Jiu Jitsu of Lynchburg, Va - $10. He faces David Cooper, Maximus Jolly, and Buddha McClure. He has a real shot at getting on the submission board against David Cooper. He also has a shot against Buddha. He’s unlikely to give the Rock Troll his second submission loss of his PGF career. - 6 points.

David Cooper – Blue Belt, Ironclad Wrestling. - $10 He faces Josh Gibbs, Moose Fritz, and Elijah Carlton. Unlikely to get a submission, but can help you round out your team. He has a shot to get a win against Gibbs but unlikely to get a win against Fritz or Carlton.

Alex Rodriguez (Unknown) – Blue Belt at 10th Planet Orange Park - $10. He’s not on the roster, but he might have to step in if someone is injured.

Anakin McMahan (Team Level) – Brown Belt, SubHounds - $17. Anakin being out after possibly having his foot broken by that toe hold that Paul Bahri put on him.

Jacob Lamar (Team Toe Hold Blue) – Black Belt, Cobra Brazilian Jiu Jitsu - $16. Lamar suffered a torn cornea and can no longer participate in the PGF.

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